The Future of Nuclear Arms Control?

Nuclear arms control is like limiting people to 10 bullets… but where sometimes a truck bomb counts as a bullet. Though it is difficult enforce agreements on qualities rather than quantities, if it were possible to regulate total nuclear weapon yield and targeting rules, rather than the number of weapons, states should be able to establish more robust deterrence without threatening global nuclear winter.

Epistemic Warfare

Lying and censorship are both adversarial games: they are applied by some for an advantage over others. All else being…

Competitive Universal Basic Services?

How to boost welfare in a more efficient manner than universal basic income without facing unsustainable socialist bloat?

The Alignment-Competence Trade-Off, Part 1: Coalition Size and Signaling Costs

Virtue signaling and moralistic anger are both forces that have been useful for holding people accountable, and powerful mechanisms of cultural evolution: spreading some norms more successfully than others, and resulting in many societies holding similar norms.

The Cybersecurity Dilemma in a Nutshell

The Cybersecurity Dilemma: Hacking, Trust, and Fear Between Nations organizes its arguments in a fairly no-nonsense, premise –> premise –>…

Modernization and arms control don’t have to be enemies.

On a recent panel on nuclear modernization and arms control at Brookings, there were a few points made about the…

Lessons from the Cold War on Information Hazards: Why Internal Communication is Critical

Due to their tremendous power, nuclear weapons were a subject of intense secrecy and taboo in the US government following…

Effective vs. Harmful Anti-war Activism and Policy (part 2)

Nuclear modernization, the triad, and why determining good ways to reduce nuclear risk is very hard.

Effective vs. Harmful Anti-war Activism and Policy (part 1)

Policy around war and weapons is complex and important. Getting policy right can greatly decrease war deaths and the odds…